Home Headlines Survey says Sheinbaum leads Xóchitl Gálvez by 30 points towards the presidency

Survey says Sheinbaum leads Xóchitl Gálvez by 30 points towards the presidency

by Yucatan Times
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In the opinion study, Sheinbaum obtains 50% of the preferences in the June 2024 elections compared to opposition senator Xóchitl Gálvez, from the Broad Front for Mexico, who receives 20%.

Claudia Sheinbaum leads with a 30-point advantage over Xóchitl Gálvez heading into the presidential elections in Mexico in the first survey by the newspaper El Universal after her designation as the virtual candidate for Morena.

In the opinion study, the former head of Government of Mexico City obtains 50% of the preferences before the June 2024 elections compared to the opposition senator Xóchitl Gálvez, of the Broad Front for Mexico, who receives 20%.

This is the newspaper’s first poll since Morena announced Sheinbaum as its future candidate on September 6, while Gálvez was formalized on September 3 as the candidate of the alliance of the National Action Party (PAN), the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI ) and that of the Democratic Revolution (PRD).

The El Universal survey also considers the governor of Nuevo León, Samuel García, as a candidate, who would obtain 7% of the votes, if he stands with the opposition Citizen Movement (MC), a party that defines itself as a “ third way” and who remains the only one who has not announced his candidacy.

Furthermore, the opinion study reveals that the actor Eduardo Verástegui, known for his alliances with the international extreme right, would obtain 4% of the votes, if he manages to materialize his independent candidacy.

The survey was conducted from September 22 to 28 through 1,200 interviews in homes nationwide with a margin of error of 3.23 percentage points and a confidence level of 95%.


Although the main parties have already announced their next candidates, the National Electoral Institute (INE) does not consider their candidacies official until formal registration, in February 2024.

By voting intention by party, the ruling Morena, founded by current president Andrés Manuel López Obrador, sweeps away 53% of voting intentions.

Added to this are the preferences of his allies, 3% of the Green Ecologist Party of Mexico (PVEM), and 2% of the leftist Labor Party (PT).

While the PAN, the main opposition party, obtains 11%, followed by 8% of the PRI, with its ally, the PRD, with 2%. Meanwhile, MC monopolizes 6% of the preferences. 

TYT Newsroom

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