Four days into the start of the rainy season, drought has not appeared in the Yucatan Peninsula, a phenomenon that will be further delayed, affirmed Juan Antonio Palma Solís, the coordinator of the Meteorology Agency (Meteored) – Mexico.
He mentioned that during the season, fewer cold fronts arrived in the region than forecasted, 17 out of 23 predicted. However, the Tropical Cyclone Season for the Atlantic Ocean, Gulf of Mexico, and the Caribbean Sea is about to begin, scheduled from June 1st to November 30th.
Fortunately, the Yucatan Peninsula was never affected by any of the four types of drought, as only dry anomalies were observed in some areas.
According to the updated drought monitor from the National Meteorological Service, as of May 7th, the states of Yucatan, Campeche, Quintana Roo, Tabasco, and Chiapas entered this month without any type of drought impact. Only abnormally dry conditions were reported in southern areas of Campeche and Quintana Roo, and some parts of Chiapas, but they do not represent a serious impact within this monitor.
However, from November 16th, 2022, to January 15th, 2023, moderate drought (D1) was recorded, lasting for two months.
“There is great news for the agricultural sector. The rainy season will start next Monday, the 15th, indicating that rainfall will be more regular, and the probability of a negative drought impact will further decrease,” he added.
Nevertheless, it is important to monitor the middle of the summer for the possible arrival of the “El Niño” phenomenon, which could potentially reduce rainfall, although it is not yet certain.