One of the main reasons Donald Trump won the 2016 presidential election is voters who disapproved of both Trump and his rival, Hillary Clinton, broke for Trump by about 18 percentage points.
“In the abstract, it’s something of a statistical quirk,” the Washington Post’s Philip Bump recently explained. “In practice, though, it might have given Trump the White House.”
In contrast, Trump’s party lost control of the House of Representatives in the 2018 midterm elections due mainly to large numbers of voters who cast ballots for Trump just two years earlier switched sides and voted for Democrats — particularly college-educated white women.
Now, in a troubling sign for Trump’s 2020 chances, all three groups — voters who disapprove of both candidates; voters who cast ballots for different parties in 2016 and 2018; and college-educated white women — are moving in Joe Biden’s direction.
By partnering with YouGov to track the views of 13 key demographic groups (suburban voters, Latino voters, white seniors) across nine important metrics (vote intention, Trump approval, direction of the country), Yahoo News has identified a significant shift away from Trump over the last week — a period in which the president delivered a poorly received debate performance and was hospitalized with COVID-19.
Consider the following chart, which compares the results of the Sept. 25 Yahoo News/YouGov survey of 2,566 registered voters to the results of the Oct. 5 Yahoo News/YouGov survey of 3,970 U.S. registered voters:
In short order, Biden added 10 points to his lead among voters who dislike both candidates; 12 points to his lead among white-college educated women; and 16 points to his lead among 2016-2018 swing voters.
more recommended stories
Two women arrested in Arizona in possession of 500 thousand fentanyl pills
Two women were arrested after about.
Seven migrants dead and 25 injured in a bus accident
Authorities in northern Mexico said Wednesday.
Solar Panel business in the US is suddenly in crisis
An ongoing Department of Commerce investigation.
Ray Liotta, ‘Goodfellas’ star and gifted character actor, dies at 67
Ray Liotta, the actor best known.
Merida City Council presented the 2022 Forestry Crusade “In Harmony with Nature”
With the aim of continuing to.
Huge Flamboyán tree falls on top of a car in Ucú, Yucatán
A mother who went to pick.
Photographic essay: Colombia elections, a reality not too far away from Mexico’s
Colombia will host Presidential elections this.
Mérida and San Francisco outline projects to multiply the areas of opportunity
“As a Municipality, we work in.
On the issue of the Cuban doctors in Mexico, AMLO literally said: “Conservatives go to hell!”
Andrés Manuel López Obrador, president of.
Yucatan and Campeche, the states with the highest honey production in Mexico
Within the framework of World Bee.