MEXICO (Health Ministry) – Hugo López-Gatell said that the epidemic is eight times bigger, according to estimates by the Health Ministry based on the “sentinel model.” That means that of the more than 3,000 cases presented last night, the Health Ministry estimates that there are 26,519 cases of coronavirus within the Mexican population, according to its sentinel model.
Undersecretary Lopez-Gatell explained that based on this model, in Mexico, there would be an estimated 3,181 confirmed cases. The unregistered infections have not reached the consultation stage but are taken into account by the Mexican government for the containment plans.
“I make a multiplication that allows me for each confirmed case of COVID-19 how many there are in the population that I did not see. Because they did not arrive at the consultation, etcetera, and that’s finally 26,519 cases. Of the 3,181 that we have just reported, others did not arrive at the consultation, but these methods allow us to say with reasonable certainty: they are there”. Lopez-Gatell said the epidemic is eight times larger than the number of positive cases that have been counted, based on the estimates that serve as a sample of the figure released.
He also said that the model used to estimate the number of cases is accurate because the World Health Organization endorsed it, the Panamerican Health Organization and the U.S. Center for Disease Control, and not only applies to Mexico but could mean the reality of other nations.
“We explicitly recognize that we have 26,000 cases. In any other country that only has the observed cases, we also have to correct for a similar number, 10 or 12 unobserved cases for each. And countries with huge epidemics would also have to multiply those cases by a similar factor.” For example, he indicated that a country with 300,000 observed and laboratory-tested cases could have up to 3 million infections.
Each case would mean another 10 or 12 that have not been sampled, but are considered part of the health actions, Gatell said. The 26,519 cases represent 8.33 cases per inhabitant with corroborated contagion.
more recommended stories
Riviera Maya hotels prepare for the Atlantic Hurricane Season 2022
The Hotel Association of the Riviera.
Vila recognizes the effort and dedication of the teachers in Yucatan
“We Yucatecans are clear that what.
“Mérida Augmented Reality” live the experience tonight in La Noche Blanca
Mérida Interactive, Augmented Reality is the.
Man is sentenced to 20 years for raping his own daughter in Mérida, Yucatán
After being found criminally responsible for.
Earth will become one big Supercontinent again
Geoscientists say Earth will be home to one.
Atlantic Hurricane Season 2022 to start June 1st
Federal meteorologists are forecasting a record-shattering.
Switzerland has a high rate of gun ownership, but no mass shootings
Switzerland hasn’t had a mass shooting.
British drummer Alan White dies at 72
Alan White, the British drummer who.
Two women arrested in Arizona in possession of 500 thousand fentanyl pills
Two women were arrested after about.
Seven migrants dead and 25 injured in a bus accident
Authorities in northern Mexico said Wednesday.