The national poll in mid-July by the Reforma newspaper group found that the party most likely to take the nation’s reins is the leftist National Regeneration Movement known as Morena, led by candidate Andrés Manuel López Obrador.
If an election were held now, the poll found, it would be third time lucky for the Tabasco-born firebrand and the man widely known by his initials AMLO would become Mexico’s new president.
When asked which party they would vote for if a presidential election were held today, respondents showed a clear preference for the AMLO-led Morena with 28% indicating they would vote for the party, down one point from another Reforma poll in January.
In Mexico’s electoral system, where there is no second-round run-off, that would mean López Obrador would become Mexico’s new president.
The right-wing National Action Party (PAN) followed with 23%.
PAN has provided two recent presidents. Vicente Fox broke a 71-year stranglehold on power by the PRI in 2000 and ruled until 2006. His successor, Felipe Calderón, was in power from 2006 to 2012.
The incumbent PRI came in third with 17% while unnamed independent candidates garnered 10% support among those surveyed.
The Democratic Revolution Party (PRD) that López Obrador led in the last two presidential elections languished well behind with just 6% of respondents saying it would be their party of choice.
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