Adrian was the earliest tropical storm on record to form in the northeast Pacific Basin, but the weather system has already weakened to a tropical depression, weather.com reports. Despite the chance Adrian could restrengthen, it is not expected to impact weather conditions in the Yucatan Peninsula.
The tropical depression will likely weaken to a remnant low on Thursday May 11. The remnants may linger off the southern Mexican Pacific coast for 10 days or more.
Tropical Depression Adrian is fizzling off the Mexican Pacific coast after become a record-early eastern Pacific named storm Tuesday.
Adrian was the earliest tropical cyclone to form in the northeast Pacific in the satellite era. This record was previously held by Hurricane Alma in 1990.
Here’s the latest from the National Hurricane Center:
- Tropical Depression Adrian is centered just under 400 miles south-southeast of Salina Cruz, Mexico, and is moving slowly toward the northwest.
- Adrian is forecast to become a remnant low Thursday.
- The remnants of this system may linger well off the southern Mexican coast for several days.
Current Storm Status
Adrian’s forecast has been challenging.
The tropical cyclone’s main thunderstorm activity has become well removed from its center of circulation, due to strong southeasterly vertical wind shear.
In fact, as of Thursday morning, only a few weak puffs of convection were located near what had become mainly a low-level swirl of clouds defining Adrian’s center. The lion’s share of thunderstorm activity was occurring far from the center along the coasts of southeast Mexico, Guatemala and El Salvador.
Unless there’s a dramatic uptick in convection near Adrian’s center, it will likely be designated a remnant low Thursday.
Some computer forecast models redevelop Adrian’s remnant into a tropical cyclone this weekend or next week, whereas others show Adrian remaining a shallow remnant low for the next five-plus days.
Water temperatures are in the mid-80s, so, assuming wind shear relaxes, we can’t rule out a redevelopment of Adrian this weekend or next week.
Winds in the surrounding atmosphere are expected to become very weak by this weekend.
As a result, Adrian’s remnants may stall off Mexico’s Pacific coast and linger for some time, possibly well into next week.
Clusters of thunderstorms well removed from Adrian may produce heavy rain at times, leading to local flash flooding and mudslides in portions of southern Mexico, Guatemala and El Salvador the next few days.
Rainfall Forecast Through Sunday
The eastern Pacific season begins May 15, which is about a half-month earlier than the Atlantic season. The earlier start date is due to warmer waters and typically weaker wind shear earlier in the season as compared to the Atlantic.
more recommended stories
Izamal’s Chaltun Ha pyramid becomes the new tourist attraction in the area
With the inauguration of the Chaltún.
Two men assault Situr bus driver in Mérida and wounded him with a knife
In an incident that never happened.
Survey says perception of security for Mérida residents is one of the best in the country
Mérida is one of the five.
New Marina projected for the Celestún harbor
A gasoline distribution company promotes the.
April 23rd… World Book Day
April 23rd… World Book Day also.
Fires in Yucatan with unrelenting force
OXKUTZCAB Yucatan (TYT). – Agents of.
Tourists leave more garbage than economic benefits in El Cuyo, Yucatán
The garbage left by visitors in.
Suspect of Canadian citizen’s murder arrested
MOTUL Yucatan (SSP). – Agents of.
Earth Day 2019: humans are killing the planet
Climate change is real and increasingly a.
AMLO reinforces security in Veracruz after massacre
Mexico President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador.