What was just a disorganized mass of thunderstorms 1,600 miles from Miami could develop into the first hurricane to hit Florida in nearly 11 years late this weekend, forecasters warn.
USA TODAY reported there’s a 60% chance the storm system, known for now only as “99L,” could develop into a tropical depression in the Atlantic Ocean later this week. If it swirls into a tropical storm, it will be named Hermine (Her-MEEN).
The system then could rapidly intensify into a large, potentially dangerous major hurricane that would target the Southeast U.S. coast Sunday or Monday, Weather Underground meteorologist Jeff Masters said.
However, as meteorologist John Morales of NBC-6 in Miami notes, “tropical weather forecasting is a very inexact science.”
Overall, 6- or 7-day forecasts of tropical cyclone location and intensity are “generally not very good,” according to Penn State University meteorologist Jon Nese.
But whether or not the system becomes a tropical storm or hurricane, gusty winds, heavy rains, and possible flash floods and mudslides could occur over the islands of the northeastern Caribbean Sea and the Bahamas, the National Hurricane Center said.
By Sunday, the system could bring deteriorating weather and sea conditions to the east coast of Florida, AccuWeather said.
Most of the computer models meteorologists use to forecast tropical weather show the system hitting the Southeast U.S. between Florida and South Carolina sometime Sunday or later, Masters said.
One computer model, the European, shows the storm crossing Florida and emerging as a major hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico by next week, according to WeatherBell meteorologist Ryan Maue. But the American model, the GFS, does not show that movement.
The most recent hurricane to strike Florida was Wilma in October 2005, AccuWeather said.
A separate system, Tropical Storm Gaston, is projected continue spinning in the central Atlantic. It could become a hurricane later this week, weather officials say. That storm however, is expected to remain over the open Atlantic, though it could stir up strong surf along the eastern shores of Florida, said Scott Spratt, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Melbourne, Fla.
more recommended stories
Fonatur accused of logging more than 144 hectares of forest land for the Tren Maya
MÉRIDA, MX.- Civil associations have joined.
Yacht catches fire on the high seas off the shore of Celestún
The yacht “Juan Pablo” at the.
Mauricio Vila promotes Yucatan during the meeting of governors with the United States Ambassador
Villahermosa, Tabasco, (October 21, 2021) .-.
Greenpeace asks Profepa to investigate alleged illegal planting of transgenic soybeans and corn in Campeche
MÉRIDA, MX.- The international group Greenpeace.
Fossil stuck in 100 million-year-old amber is oldest “true crab” ever discovered
In 2015, two researchers stumbled across.
We still have five weeks left to 2021 hurricane season
The 2021 hurricane season hasn’t been.
Increased feeling of insecurity among Merida residents (INEGI)
Mérida, Yucatán.- Insecurity perception indexes throughout.
FGE arrests two men for child abuse in Yucatan
MÉRIDA, Yucatán, (October 21, 2021) .-.
Agustín Gusto, the first wine produced in Valladolid, Yucatán
Valladolid, Yucatán.- The Agustín Gusto restaurant,.
Mérida’s 2022 municipal budget proposal is ready
Merida will prioritize health services, security.