According to Reuters, new research attempting to calculate the risk of the Zika virus at the Olympics in Rio de Janeiro may reassure organizers and many of the more than 500,000 athletes and fans expected to travel to the epicenter of the epidemic.
Controversy about the global gathering in August has grown as more about the disease becomes known. The mosquito-borne virus can cause crippling birth defects and, in adults, has been linked to the neurological disorder Guillain-Barre.
The World Health Organization, acknowledging the concern, has called a meeting of its Zika experts to evaluate the transmission risk posed by the Olympics.
The debate has played out largely in the absence of models calculating the risk to tourists attending the Olympics. New projections obtained by Reuters suggest the risk is small.
One Sao Paulo-based research group predicted the Rio Olympics would result in no more than 15 Zika infections among the foreign visitors expected to attend the event, according to data reviewed by Reuters.
The projection echoes that of a separate group of Brazilian scientists, also based at the University of Sao Paulo, in a study published in the journal Epidemiology & Infection in April. It found the Olympics would result in no more than 16 additional cases of the disease.
Neither study attempted to assess the risk of even a single Olympics traveler carrying the virus back to a vulnerable home country — a central concern of recent calls to reconsider the venue of the Games.
But a team of U.S. government epidemiologists calculated that Olympics visitors would account for .25 percent of the total risk of spreading Zika through air travel. That was based on 2015 data showing about 240 million people moved to and from areas that now have active transmission.
“Even if the Games were totally shut off and stopped, and the whole thing were canceled, 99 percent of that risk is still ongoing,” Dr. Martin Cetron, director of global migration and quarantine for the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, said in an interview.
more recommended stories
Houston-Cozumel flight reactivated
UNITED AIRLINES reactivates the Houston-Cozumel flight.-.
FONATUR official mentions the construction of a new airport in Mérida
Cancun, Quintana Roo (August 9, 2020).-.
INM authorities retain foreigners at immigration filters in Cancun
The National Migration Institute (INM) restarted.
European countries double down efforts to curb a second wave
Countries across Europe are doubling down on.
New York is moving homeless people into luxury hotels to protect them against coronavirus
New York was in the midst of.
Tropical wave on track to approach the mid-Atlantic
FORT LAUDERDALE, Fla. — The National.
500 kilos of Marijuana confiscated by the Army in Mérida
The Secretariat of National Defense (Sedena),.
Joaquín Díaz Mena tests positive for Covid-19
MÉRIDA, YUCATAN.- Yucatecan politician Joaquín Díaz.
Cinema theaters to reopen on Wednesday, August 12th in Mexico City
Next Wednesday, August 12th, and after.
Trump hosts press conference filled with falsehoods
Trump hosted a press conference at.