Tropical Storm Odile has now formed off the Pacific coast of southern Mexico.
Tropical Depression Fifteen-E first formed Wednesday morning in the Eastern Pacific and quickly strengthened into a tropical storm.
Steady strengthening is expected over the next few days as Tropical Storm Odile moves north-northwest. Odile will remain in a moist environment of low to moderate shear and over very warm water. The only factor that could limit strengthening would be land interaction.
The eventual path of the future Odile is tricky.
One option is for the system to track far enough offshore such that only periphery impacts (outer rainbands, high surf, rip currents) are possible from near Manzanillo northward to the Baja Peninsula.
Another option is for future Odile to track much closer to the coast, bringing the threat of high winds, surge flooding, and torrential rain to the above-mentioned areas.
If this second, closer to the coast track were to occur, the closest approach of the center to the southwest Mexican coasts of Jalisco, Colima and possibly Michoacan would occur late Friday into Saturday, and in the southern Baja peninsula late Sunday into Monday.
So, where exactly is the cyclone’s center located now? If you’re plotting the storm along with us, the information depicted in the map above provides the latitude/longitude coordinates, distance away from the nearest land location, maximum sustained winds and central pressure (measured in millibars).
Tropical Storm/Hurricane Watches/Warnings
A tropical storm or hurricane watch is issued when those conditions are possible within the area. Watches are typically posted 48 hours in advance of the onset of tropical storm-force conditions, since preparing for the storm becomes difficult once tropical storm-force winds begin. A tropical storm or hurricane warning means those conditions are expected in the area. Warnings are typically issued 36 hours in advance of the onset of tropical storm-force winds. When a warning is issued, you should complete all storm preparations and, if directed by local officials, evacuate the area immediately. If this map is blank, there are no watches or warnings in effect.
This infrared satellite image shows how cold (and therefore how high) the cloud tops are. Brighter orange and red shadings concentrated near the center of circulation signify a healthy tropical cyclone.
Source: The Weather Channel
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